Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
6
495Ṁ6252035
84%
>100k in 2028
82%
>100k in 2029
79%
>100k in 2030
76%
>100k in 2031
72%
>100k in 2032
68%
>100k in 2033
64%
>100k in 2034
I'll resolve each option in this market early in the following year, whenever OurWorldInData / the WHO / some reputable source publishes their malaria-death statistics.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
20% chance
Will a malaria vaccine be deployed to >1M humans in 2023-2024?
94% chance
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
12% chance
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
12% chance
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
8% chance
Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030?
9% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
35% chance
Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
16% chance
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
15% chance