Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Basic
5
Ṁ5542035
1D
1W
1M
ALL
96%
>100k in 2028
94%
>100k in 2029
93%
>100k in 2030
93%
>100k in 2031
92%
>100k in 2032
83%
>100k in 2033
77%
>100k in 2034
I'll resolve each option in this market early in the following year, whenever OurWorldInData / the WHO / some reputable source publishes their malaria-death statistics.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Will Malaria Deaths go up in 2023?
33% chance
Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
20% chance
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
37% chance
Will any country eliminate malaria within its borders in 2024?
59% chance
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
58% chance
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
14% chance
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?
50% chance