Which country will be the next one to default on its government debt? | Manifold

Which country will be the next one to default on its government debt?

Ancient Markets New Year's Resolutions 2024

Mini

13

Ṁ625

2025

1D

1W

1M

ALL

71%

Egypt

13%

San Marino

7%

Russia

5%

Argentina

1.3%

Other

1.1%

KENYA

Close date updated to 2024-01-01 6:10 pm

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@NickHeinonen Can you please resolve or extend? Thank you!

What's going on with San Marino?

Mostly going off of this https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/big-default-dozen-countries-danger-zone-2022-07-15/.

It seems like Ghana is currently defaulting on loans? https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ghana-announces-external-debt-payment-suspension-slipping-into-default-2022-12-19/

@GarrettGarzonie Ghana was already defaulting before this market was created.

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Will the UK an have average of more than 500,000 net migrants per year between Sep 2022 and the next election?

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Related questions

Will Sri Lanka restructure or default on its international debt obligations in 2024?

Will Ghana default on their most recent IMF loan?

Will Pakistan restructure or default on its international debt obligations in 2024?

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Will someone massively default after the April 30 changes?

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Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA or lower before the end of 2030?

Will any G20 member government collapse by 2030?

What will US Sovereign debt be in 2040?