Will either China or the United States shoot down a manned aircraft belonging to the other one before 2025?
Plus
19
Ṁ7072025
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Interesting question. Does the method of shooting it down have to be by a bullet/missile/laser/etc? i.e. an independent weapon?
What about if a US plane swipes a Chinese plane and the plane goes down? What if they intentionally fly in front of or near it to cause damage or a crash with air pressure or afterburner flames?
What if they use electronic jamming/interference methods which cause the aircraft to crash?
@StrayClimb I would say it needs to be an independent weapon as I specified "shoot down" in the title.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the U.S. and China go to war before 2025?
2% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?
10% chance
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
16% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2025?
6% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?
51% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
52% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?
55% chance
Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?
62% chance
Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030?
33% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?
41% chance