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Will Anthony Albanese be the Prime Minister of Australia at the end of 2025?
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43
Ṁ3.5k2026
63%
chance
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The next general election legally has to occur before or during 2025.
I will not vote in this poll.
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Australians tend to re-elect governments for at least one term. The last time a federal government only lasted one term was 1931.
Australian voters are good at distinguishing between their support for governments versus the referendums they put forward. Past Australian PMs (e.g. Hawke) have lost referendums without much effect on their overall support.
Even as polling for the Voice has fallen, support for Labor overall is pretty stable.
Head-to-head, Albanese is more popular than Dutton.
Far less leadership tensions compared to recent past Australian governments.
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