Peter Dutton retains seat in 2025 Australian election?
13
1kṀ1734May 10
76%
chance
3
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Peter Dutton is the winner of the federal electorate of Dickson (the seat he currently holds) in the 2025 Australian federal election.
Official resolution source is the Australian Electoral Commission, but the market may resolve early if the ABC "calls" the seat for a candidate. Such early resolution will be preliminary however and I'll re-resolve in the unlikely case that the final result from the AEC differs.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Labor win the 2025 Australian federal election?
90% chance
Who will be sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the next Australian federal election?
Who will form Government following Australia's 2025 federal election? (+ hung Parliament options)
Will Pierre Poilievre win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
86% chance
In the Australian federal election for the 48th Parliament of Australia, will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of the seats in the House of Representatives?
51% chance
Which Australian political party will become the dominant party after the next House election (as of Feb 2024)?
Will Jagmeet Singh win his seat in the 2025 Canadian election?
17% chance
How many seats will the Greens win in the 2025 Australian Federal Election?
Will Trumpet of Patriots win any seat, any at all, in the Australian election?
8% chance
Will Anthony Albanese remain the leader of the Australian Labor Party through to the end of October 2025?
74% chance