Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
12
Ṁ761
2026
64%
chance

https://arcprize.org/leaderboard
Achieve a performance of 85% or higher on the private set of Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC), a challenging benchmark designed to test an AI's ability to solve abstract reasoning tasks with minimal prior knowledge. Even if the requirements for the grand prize change in 2025, this benchmark of >=85% performance will remain unchanged. Learn more about the competition here: https://arcprize.org/competition.

2025 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai-srb6t2awj1

2024 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai

Get Ṁ1,000 play money