Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
Plus
14
Ṁ9122026
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://arcprize.org/leaderboard
Achieve a performance of 85% or higher on the private set of Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC), a challenging benchmark designed to test an AI's ability to solve abstract reasoning tasks with minimal prior knowledge. Even if the requirements for the grand prize change in 2025, this benchmark of >=85% performance will remain unchanged. Learn more about the competition here: https://arcprize.org/competition.
2025 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai-srb6t2awj1
2024 version https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-prize-be-clai
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2025?
50% chance
Will the ARC-AGI Grand Prize be claimed in 2024?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
41% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2026?
48% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
30% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2027?
69% chance
Before what year will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed?
Will we get AGI before 2026?
16% chance
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?
78% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
43% chance