I'm duplicating Carson Gale's market, but setting the date to 2030 instead of 2023. Otherwise I'll use the same resolution criteria he posted, but I'll be the one resolving this one:
https://manifold.markets/CarsonGale/in-2023-will-the-bay-area-retain-it
-------------------------
On January 4th, 2023 Term Sheet, a well-known financial newsletter by Fortune (typically regarding PE/VC) posted a series of predictions regarding the calendar year 2023.
One of these predictions was the following:
“We firmly believe the San Francisco Bay Area will retain its dominant role and position—despite all reports and predictions to the contrary.” —Andy Stinnes, general partner, Cloud Apps Capital Partners
I will not attempt to initially define all resolution criteria in this market and will instead attempt to handle any nuances/complications/data feasibility as it arises. If by end of [2030] I think it is not possible to confidently resolve this market in the spirit in which it was intended, I reserve the right to resolve as "n/a".
Any clarifications to the resolution criteria will be listed below, along with the applicable date:
[TBU]