Will there be a gpt 4 competitor by march 2024?
13%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

@mods I don't envy you the task of figuring out how this resolves, but it probably should resolve? The date has passed and the creator is totally inactive.

  • To make this not an automatic YES, "competitor" presumably means "roughly on a par" or better, not "are there any other LLMs in existence".

  • Claude 3 Opus is generally agreed to be the first peer of GPT-4 to come out. It released in early March.

  • Does an event happening "by" March mean before March? The close date suggests it does, in which case this should pretty clearly resolve NO. (But if "by March" includes events in March, it should clearly resolve YES.)

What qualifies as a competitor? There were already "compeditors", in the sense of other question-and-answer LLMs with similar business models, when this question was written. Tons of them.

A model roughly as good, or better?

(somewhat) inactive creator, extended close time until March.

@chrisjbillington How does it resolve though? The original creator didn't exactly give a lot of detail about what they meant

How does this resolve?