Axios reports that all Federal employees have received an email similar to Elon's "Fork in the Road" ultimatum to Twitter employees in 2022.

https://www.axios.com/2025/01/28/trump-federal-workers-quit-severance

Reporting suggests that, if a federal employee replies to the email before February 6 and expresses in writing an intent to resign, then that employee "will retain all pay and benefits regardless of [their] daily workload and will be exempted from all applicable in-person work requirements until September 30, 2025."

Will Trump announce on February 7 that he is laying off employees, and will it be discovered that a majority of employees who expressed an intent to resign have been laid off effective immediately?

This question only resolves Yes if both of the following happen:

• On Feb 7 a credible news source reports breaking news of mass layoffs within the federal government, or on Feb 7 the White House publishes official public communication that an average reader would interpret as announcing mass layoffs.

• Before Feb 14 a credible news source reports that >50% of the employees who expressed an intent to resign were laid off effective immediately as part of the mass layoffs

Resolves No otherwise