Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
Plus
18
Ṁ5602029
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds). Resolves NO on close
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
12% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
27% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
22% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2024?
54% chance
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by market close?
1% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
73% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
56% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
64% chance
Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
70% chance