Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
Plus
17
Ṁ8682031
22%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpinLaunch
The technology uses a vacuum-sealed centrifuge to spin a rocket and then hurl it to space at up to 4,700 mph (7,500 km/h; 2.1 km/s). The rocket then ignites its engines at an altitude of roughly 200,000 ft (60 km) to reach orbital speed of 17,150 mph (27,600 km/h; 7.666 km/s) with a payload of up to 200kg. Peak acceleration would be approximately 10,000 g. If successful, the acceleration concept is projected to lower the cost of launches and to use much less power, with the price of a single space launch reduced by a factor of 20 to under US$500,000.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2024?
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
27% chance
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
18% chance
Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?
56% chance
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
12% chance
Will there be an orbital rocket launch from Australia before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will a rocket launched from Taiwan reach orbit before the end of 2030?
25% chance
Will SpaceX launch a reused Super Heavy rocket booster successfully by the end of 2025?
72% chance
Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?
73% chance
Will Rocket Lab have successfully reflown an Electron Booster before 2026?
70% chance