6 months after the Great Manifold Pivot, will Manifold leadership consider it to have been a good idea?
10
Ṁ402
Nov 18
89%
chance

The resolve date is a placeholder. The market will resolve based on the majority of the answers I get when I ask any of those among {James, Stephen, Ian, other current Manifold leadership/major staff} who are still working at Manifold 6 months post-Great Pivot. If there is at most one such person remaining, the market will automatically resolve NO (because they all quit).

I resolve the right to make small reasonable edits to the wording of these resolve criteria should someone provide a better operationalization of the question or supply important information about MM's org chart that I've neglected.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

@Lorxus The pivot officially started today, so I assume the close date for this market will be November 16th?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 That's correct!

opened a Ṁ200 YES at 75% order

the manifold staff constantly delude themselves, this is fine

They'll definitely say yes!