What will the maximum Tontine daily death count be for 2024?
Basic
3
Ṁ370Jan 1
93%
2
4%
3
2%
4
1.9%
https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2024-2-23, 291 players remain.
The market resolves to the choice corresponding to the largest number of Tontine deaths of players in a single day of 2024. As of 2024-2-23, the largest death count so far this year is 2, which last occurred on 2024-2-10. The last 3 was on 2023-10-5, and the last 4 was on 2023-8-16.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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