How many deaths will there be in Tontine in 2024?
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8
Ṁ743Jan 3
115
expected
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https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot.
As of 2023-12-31, 312 players remained, and as of 2024-1-30, 298 players remain.
The market resolves to the number of deaths in the calendar year 2024 as calculated by 312 minus the living player count on 2025-1-1.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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