Will Russia retaliate militarily on any non-participating member of NATO before the end of 2025?
Plus
9
Ṁ19032026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Russia conducts a military operation against any NATO member (as of November 2024), without that member having declared a war, or conducted a military operation against Russia.
Countries providing military, humanitarian, or financial aide are not considered participating.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia shoot down an F-16 over Ukraine before the end of 2025?
72% chance
NATO member country directly engages in combat with Russian forces before April 1st 2025
15% chance
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
17% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
8% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
14% chance
Will Russia join NATO before 2050?
14% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
6% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
9% chance