Which coalition will govern Germany after the next Bundestag election? | Manifold

Which coalition will govern Germany after the next Bundestag election?

Plus

49

Ṁ25k

Dec 31

9%

Union - Grüne

58%

Union - SPD

6%

Union - Grüne - SPD

1%

Union - Grüne - FDP

2%

Union - SPD - BSW

12%

Union - AfD

3%

Union - FDP

5%

Union - SPD - FDP

3%

Other

Order of parties in the answer does not matter, "CDU - SPD" is equivalent to "SPD - CDU".

Feel free to add additional answers if you feel like it!

Have fun predicting!

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#German Politics

#European Elections

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

opened a Ṁ10 YES at 1.0% order

Three parties (BSW, FDP, Linke) are at roughly the 5% mark. It could depend on them if Union-SPD has a majority.

A party needs either 5+% of the votes or win 3+ districts to get into the parliament. If they fail both, their votes are ignored.

A clone of this question just opened on Metaculus.

Added it to the dashboard.

Arbitrage with /AlexbGoode/which-parties-will-form-the-next-ge

Related questions

Which coalition will form the next German government after the 2025 German election?

Which coalitions will be feasible after the 2025 German Bundestag election?

Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections?

Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?

Which parties will surmount the five percent hurdle at the next German federal election?

Which parties will form the next German federal government?

What will be the results of the next German federal election?

Which parties will be part of the next ruling coalition in Germany

Which parties will receive at least three direct mandates at the next German federal election?

Who will be elected German Chancellor following the next general election?

Related questions

Which coalition will form the next German government after the 2025 German election?

Which parties will form the next German federal government?

Which coalitions will be feasible after the 2025 German Bundestag election?

What will be the results of the next German federal election?

Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections?

Which parties will be part of the next ruling coalition in Germany

Which of these parties will get seats in the German Bundestag after the next federal election?

Which parties will receive at least three direct mandates at the next German federal election?

Which parties will surmount the five percent hurdle at the next German federal election?

Who will be elected German Chancellor following the next general election?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules