On Episode 2143 of the Effectively Wild podcast, Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley, Ben Clemens, and Michael Baumann each made 10 "bold" predictions about baseball in 2024. Which ones will come true?
Source: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2143-the-2024-preseason-predictions-game/
Most of, but not all, the predictions are about the MLB season itself. Some are about college baseball. But they will all be resolved by the end of November.
Resolution arbitration of all 40 questions will be determined by official MLB results, the Effectively Wild prediction contest, and the Associated Press.
@LukeW Holliday: 0.0, Jobe: 0.0, Churio 3.9, Merrill 5.3 -- approx. 9.2
Diaz: 1.9, O'Neill 2.5, Garcia -0.2, Lorenzen 0.7 -- approx 4.9
oops
@R2D2sm5g I haven't added up the WARs on this yet. If you can provided the evidence, please do. Otherwise I'll get to it soon.
@LukeW yeah no worries take your time
i just did a quick estimation -- don't think it's particularly close.
The lowest attendance for any OAK home game this year was 2895. Resolves NO.
source: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/OAK/2024-schedule-scores.shtml
@R2D2sm5g damn. NYM, ATL, and ARI all finished with 89-73. Sneks get the short end of the stick. Resolving yes.
@LukeW Soto would need 9 HRs tomorrow, a feat only matched by Darryl Strawberry in that one Simpsons episode.
@LukeW if my calculations are correct, MLB is more than 200 SBs short of that mark. So seems unlikely.