This market has a 1% probability of being resolved to YES on 2024 election day.
41
Ṁ11k
Nov 6
3%
chance

I won't bet on this market. Closer to the election day I'll propose a method for the resolution that won't rely on people trusting my Python algorithm.

To clarify (Apr 13th 2023): this market resolves to NO otherwise

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
#Self-resolving
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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Is this an attempt to estimate the Manifold analogue of Lizardman's Constant (i.e. the level of distortion in long shots caused by the fact that people don't want to buy 99c for 98c if they have to wait months to collect)?

Will it resolve NO if it doesn’t resolve YES?

@JoshuaB yes, it will be resolved to NO if it doesn't resolve to YES

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