Will OpenAI add image generation capabilities to its o1/o3/... series models before 2026?
7
100Ṁ227
2026
83%
chance

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that OpenAI has added and publicly released image generation capabilities to its o1/o3/... series models before January 1st 2026.

Access to these capabilities must be available in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.

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OAI doesn't seem very interested in images per se. De3 has just been left to sit there for years. I'm guessing they don't think of it as on the golden path to ASI

@Ernie They can make the machines, but they no longer can make Arafel

@Ernie yeah, I got the impression with their AMA that they were saying they had some good proposals internally of what to scale up, but for compute they had multiple higher priority items. That being said, I think they really do care about image generation as a problem, and that it's highly relevant to demonstrating that their RL approach generalises to non-text tokens.

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