Before 2026, will OpenAI release a model that can generate an image of a horse riding an astronaut on the moon?
Basic
23
Ṁ7372026
71%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The model must be able to successful generate an image of a horse riding an astronaut on the moon with only the exact string "image of a horse riding an astronaut on the moon" at least 5/10 times. If the model doing the generation is multimodal "Generate an" will be prepended to the string.
https://x.com/fofrAI/status/1851661066566316168 According to this X poster, Sama promised big improvements to image models soon (possibly related to o1 like test-time compute scaling).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Anthropic, Google, xAI or Meta release a model that thinks before it responds like o1 from OpenAI by EOY 2024?
61% chance
Will Anthropic release a model that thinks before it responds like o1 from OpenAI by EOY 2024?
21% chance
By the end of Q1 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
66% chance
Will OpenAI release an image model better than DALL-E 3 in 2024?
67% chance
Will OpenAI / Dall-E support real-time AI image generation in 2024?
21% chance
When will OpenAI release video generation model to general public?
Will OpenAI release a tool to identify images generated by DALL.E? (in 2024)
32% chance
Will any image model available to the public be able to generate arbitrary non-adversarial text before 2025?
59% chance
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
By the end of Q2 2025 will an open source model beat OpenAI’s o1 model?
76% chance