Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?
Basic
19
Ṁ1408Jan 16
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NASA astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore depart the International Space Station (ISS) by 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The astronauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the ISS and begun its return journey to Earth.
The resolution source will be official announcements from NASA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
sold Ṁ0 YES
NASA has decided that Butch and Suni will return with Crew 9 next February.
-- NASA Administrator Bill Nelson in an Aug 24 news conference
Related questions
Related questions
Will a human die in orbit before 2025?
2% chance
[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
13% chance
Will any Gemini astronauts die in 2024?
24% chance
Will both of the stranded NASA astronauts return to earth alive?
98% chance
Will there be fewer than 2 Russian cosmonauts in the International Space Station crew in December 2025?
36% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2030?
65% chance
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2025?
97% chance
On what day will the stranded Nasa / Starliner astronaut(s) touch down on earth?
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2029?
73% chance
Will SpaceX land a space-flown Starship in 2024?
2% chance