[ACX 2024] Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
Plus
98
Ṁ27kJan 2
1%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in the calendar year 2024, SpaceX's Starship reaches orbit. Note that "orbit" is often used in a loose manner but this question has a specific definition of orbit in the fine print below.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How many Spacex Starship launches will there be in 2024?
[Polymarket] How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
Will SpaceX's Starship orbit any satellites in 2024?
2% chance
Will SpaceX land a space-flown Starship in 2024?
2% chance
Will a SpaceX starship achieve orbit in 2024?
2% chance
Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
0% chance
Will Starship–Super Heavy deliver a payload to orbit in 2024?
1% chance
Will Starship reach Mars by 2028?
36% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
Will a SpaceX Starship be refuelled in orbit by the end of 2024?
1% chance