![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FNGK%252F538bf3e70731.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
Basic
35
Ṁ6.9k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
2 times or less
49%
3 or 4
44%
5 or 6
4%
7 or more
Based on a series of questions asked by Everyday Astronaut on Twitter.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
I made a comment here about launch cadence of Starship and using F9 launch history as the baseline. I’ll be interested to see how they line up. The prediction for this year is only another 2 launches but I expect at least 3.
https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-starship-launch-one-hundreds-t#ZeBUfYG896LApnwMD42S
Related questions
Will Starship launch at least 5 times in 2024?
55% chance
How many Spacex Starship launches will there be in 2024?
How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?
Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
56% chance
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will there be X or more Starship–SuperHeavy launches in 2024?
How many Starship launches will there be between now (post IFT2) and the end of 2024?
Will Starship launch at least 2 Starlink satellites to orbit in 2024
65% chance
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?