How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Standard
27
Ṁ8190Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
2 or fewer
92%
3 or 4
1%
5 or 6
0.3%
7 or more
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full set of markets on this dashboard.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Apparently the FAA thinks there might be as many as 9. https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/02/spacex-seeks-to-launch-starship-at-least-nine-times-this-year/
Related questions
Related questions
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
How many Spacex Starship launches will there be in 2024?
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
49% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
44% chance
How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
63% chance
Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the fourth quarter of 2024?
93% chance
Will there be X or more Starship–SuperHeavy launches in 2024?