What will be the sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI's publicly reported annualized revenues by December 31st 2025?
Premium
20
Ṁ12k2026
3%
<$5B
7%
$5-10B
6%
$10.1-12.5B
8%
$12.6-15B
10%
$15.1-17.5B
9%
$17.6-20B
12%
$20.1-25B
46%
>$25B
This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2025 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
This market will use AI Digest as its resolution source.
We will resolve to the sum of the most recent publicly reported annualized revenues (monthly revenue * 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI as of December 31st, 2025 from any reliable news source per the resolver's discretion. For example, The New York Times and Reuters would likely count, but tweets likely wouldn’t—unless coming directly from the AI company or its CEO.
In the absence of any recent reliable public reports we will use our best discretion. For example, we may use recent projections, and if there are conflicting reports we may choose the one we think is more reliable.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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