This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
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1.00Some of you guys know I have some conservative antics. Especially relative to Manifold as a whole. I thought early in the race Robinson was the favorite, already being an incumbent in a state famous for Republicans prevailing in razor-thin elections. And he would ride to victory with the Trump factor regardless.
I’m calling it now. This is going to make Roy Moore 2017 look like a red wave. No reasonable person is voting for this clown unless these comments are proven fake, and fast.