Which party will win the US Senate race in Nebraska in 2024 (full term)?
16
Ṁ4221
Jan 1
0.1%
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
12%
Other
  • This market covers the normal Senate race in Nebraska; the winner will serve a 6-year term.

  • Will eventually resolve to the party which won the popular vote for the race, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.

  • In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may optionally resolve early.

  • This market covers events up to and including Election Day, November 5: if Party A's candidate X wins the popular vote that day, but intervening events cause the next inaugurated Senator to be from Party B, the market will resolve to Party A.

    • If candidate X switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.

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bought Ṁ50 Other YES

Osborn's polling is definitely enough to justify 10% on other, methinks

bought Ṁ1,000 Other NO

no, this is the other Nebraska Senate race

wait fuck no it isn't

sold Ṁ994 Other NO

I misread the market oops

then where is the market for the other Nebraska race

oh it's at https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-senate-78078f7ff791
well I guess I lost a couple mana; should have paid attention