Javier Milei's ascendancy to the presidency of Argentina has ignited a heated debate over his liberal economic policies. Proponents argue that his approach will unleash the potential of economic freedom, leading to prosperity, while critics fear it will precipitate the nation's downfall. As of December 2023, Argentina grapples with a substantial poverty rate of around 40%.

This prediction market wager focuses on the trajectory of Argentina's poverty level under Milei's administration. The critical metric for this bet is the poverty level as reported by a reputable source by the end of 2029. If the data indicate that Argentina's poverty rate has fallen below 15% by this time, the bet will resolve in the affirmative. This wager offers a unique opportunity to speculate on the effectiveness of Milei's controversial economic strategies and their real impact on Argentina's future.