From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Censuses of Argentina (INDEC), the percentage of the population living below the poverty line in Argentina (Población bajo la línea de pobreza) in the first half of 2025 is less than 41.7%. If the percentage is greater than or equal to 41.7%, this question resolves as No.