Who will win the Guatemala Presidential Election?

Basic

Ṁ2824

resolved Aug 23

ALL

100%99.4%

Bernardo Arevalo

0.5%

Sandra Torres

0.1%

Zury Rios

0.0%

Edmond Mulet

Sandra Julieta Torres Casanova is seeking election to the presidency in the 2023 Guatemalan general election, currently scheduled to take place on June 25, 2023.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sandra Torres wins the 2023 Guatemalan presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result isn't known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Guatemalan government (e.g. https://www.tse.org.gt/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

https://polymarket.com/event/guatemala-presidential-election-who-will-win
I'm going to resolve this the same as polymarket

#️ Politics

#Elections: World

#Guatemala

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1,000

and

1.00

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@contexto In my opinion, I believe that Bernardo Arevalo has the strongest chance of winning the 2023 Guatemalan presidential election.

"I'm going to resolve this the same as polymarket"

Im getting people back their mana. Ill ask David to undo if polymarket resolution is weird

I like my market better because it doesn't have the probability of Rios and Mulet being worth 25 if the election gets cancelled.

Unlike the Polymarket market, which resolves to 50/50 for each candidate, this market would have to resolve 25/25/25/25.

https://manifold.markets/AaronKreider/who-will-be-elected-president-of-gu

Who will be elected president of Guatemala in 2023?

Who will win the first or second round. Resolves to NA if the election is cancelled.

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