Why is this locked?

they're literally voting right now why's this so high

@Marnix This market doesn't end for another year.

@TimothyJohnson5c16 god damn it i did it again 😭

@Marnix Yeah, I've made that mistake before too. There are just too many markets with slight differences...

Why did the market just close?

@KimberlyWilberLIgt

So absurd that this is lower than the 2024 market.

Looks like a shutdown has likely been avoided. Senate is far more moderate than the House and seems unlikely they would delay.

Republicans struggling to avoid a shutdown before Trump is even president. Will they make it through a whole year of running both houses, the presidency, and the supreme court?

EDIT: i can't read

@Marnix Oh gdi i keep forgetting what year it is

19 legislative days left…

@parhizj Before what?

@BTE Before funding runs out again

@MarcusAbramovitch does a partial shutdown cause this to resolve YES?

Maybe

@BTE , I'm interested in a large position on this market. Given I bet this up to 70% and you bet it down to 31%, are you interested in a large bet at 50%?

@MarcusAbramovitch Ill do up to 30000 Mana (I know I have a larger portfolio so I don't consider you a "wimp" or anything to want less but I do think >10k mana is good)

@MarcusAbramovitch I don’t have enough conviction this won’t happen at any point during this congress. Low chance this year since McCarthy already had his big win for the year. Maybe next year. Why do you feel so strongly it’s a YES?

@BTE I think American government is becoming more dysfunctional

@MarcusAbramovitch Actually this includes a year of the 119th congress.

@BTE Also, I'm generally looking to put large bets on when I have disagreements with others with large portfolios

@BTE If we ever have differing probabilities on other markets, I would be happy to put a large bet on. It's very hard to get large amounts of mana down