Will Pope Francis live to see Easter Sunday?
15
100Ṁ542Apr 21
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Pope Francis is alive at 00:00 on April 20, 2025 in Italian time (UTC+2).
Update 2025-02-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Physical Life Only:
The market resolution applies only to Pope Francis being physically alive.
Heavenly existence or eternal life in a spiritual sense is not considered.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@KevinBlaw Though he'll certainly live on forever in the kingdom of heaven, this market can only cover the world of the flesh
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