The first female US president will be Republican
Plus
39
Ṁ18312028
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee.
Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic.
Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Caveat aleator: that link is DPM and so untrustworthy. The fixed odds replacement:
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