
The first female US president will be Republican
52
1kṀ36152028
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if the first female US president is the Republican nominee. Resolves No if the first female US president is the Democratic nominee.
Resolves to 50% if the first female US president is neither Republican nor Democratic.
Succession: this includes a vice president, who becomes president due to death of the incumbent, in which case it resolves Yes/No/50% based on whether they were a Republican/Democratic/other vice presidential nominee or appointee. Later positions in the line of succession are treated similarly.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will the first female President be right-wing?
28% chance
When will the US have the first female President?
Will the Republican nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
17% chance
Will Ivanka Trump be the first female elected President?
6% chance
When will the US elect the first female President?
Will the first female President be dynastic?
43% chance
When will the first white woman become president of the United States?
Will AOC be the first female US president?
10% chance
Will Kamala Harris be the first female elected President?
4% chance
Will the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
56% chance
Sort by:
Caveat aleator: that link is DPM and so untrustworthy. The fixed odds replacement:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the first female President be right-wing?
28% chance
When will the US have the first female President?
Will the Republican nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
17% chance
Will Ivanka Trump be the first female elected President?
6% chance
When will the US elect the first female President?
Will the first female President be dynastic?
43% chance
When will the first white woman become president of the United States?
Will AOC be the first female US president?
10% chance
Will Kamala Harris be the first female elected President?
4% chance
Will the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
56% chance