Will SCOTUS judges have term limits by 2028-03-23?
Standard
13
Ṁ419Sep 2
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if SCOTUS judges have term limits, whether imposed by Congress or self-imposed. This includes any sort of time limit, age limit, case limit, session limit, etc. It includes limits that only apply to future judges.
Resolves No otherwise.
Small print: I will not trade in this market. I will handle edge cases according to my best judgment, feel free to ask resolution questions in comments.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Sort by:
Note that the constitution says that scotus justices serve during good behavior, meaning for life unless impeached. Congress does not have the power to impose term limits, nor are the justices empowered to impose term limits on each other. It would take a constitutional amendment, and we basically don't do that anymore.
Related questions
Related questions
Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
70% chance
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
78% chance
Will Clarence Thomas retire from the Supreme Court before 2029?
56% chance
Will a United States Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be impeached and removed before Jan. 20th 2025?
25% chance
Will SCOTUS allow video cameras in the court by 11/7/2028?
34% chance
Will the number of justices on the SCOTUS be increased by the end of 2028?
13% chance
Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
46% chance
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire in 2024?
17% chance
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
If Harris wins, will she appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
78% chance