Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Plus
24
Ṁ9762026
47%
Clarence Thomas
3%
John Roberts
10%
Samuel Alito
33%
Sonia Sotomayor
3%
Elena Kagan
1.2%
Niel Gorsuch
1.2%
Brett Kavanaugh
1%
Amy Coney Barrett
1%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.
The justices are listed here in order of seniority. I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@AndrewG It will resolve based on the first of the listed justices to leave the bench. That's why I worded the description as, "Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court," to exclude any new justices who are added.
Related questions
Related questions
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Will any US Supreme Court justice retire before the 2024 elections?
5% chance
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Will Clarence Thomas leave the supreme court before 2025?
4% chance
Will any U.S. Supreme Court justice resign or retire in 2024?
8% chance
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
Will the makeup of the US Supreme Court change before January 20th, 2025 at 12pm ET?
12% chance
Will a United States Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be impeached and removed before Jan. 20th 2025?
19% chance