Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Plus
28
Ṁ23742031
2%
John Roberts
50%
Clarence Thomas
30%
Samuel Alito
13%
Sonia Sotomayor
0.7%
Elena Kagan
0.3%
Neil Gorsuch
0.4%
Brett Kavanaugh
0.2%
Amy Coney Barrett
0.6%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
3%
A Justice not yet seated
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on A Justice not yet seated
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@mods I am incapable of buying any YES on any of the 0% options. I keep getting this screen (seen below), but only when I tap YES. I do not get this screen when I tap NO on those options. I think this is a bug.
bought Ṁ1 Amy Coney Barrett YES
Amy Coney Barrett is YES-able now. The remaining 2 are still bugged.
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