By election day, will Kamala Harris' number of solo interviews exceed Trump's number of assassination attempts?
43
Ṁ7645
Nov 5
94%
Harris has more solo interviews
1.6%
Trump has more assassination attempts
4%
They are tied

Currently as of 9/17, it stands at Trump 2, Harris 1 (the interview with Walz was not a solo interview and does not count).

UPDATE 9/17 midday: links posted by @yk look legit, so that's actually Trump 2, Harris 4 at this point. Big chungus is starting to fall behind.

I'm defining a solo interview as one where a single candidate sits down with a single interviewer for an extended question and answer period or discussion.

  • Press conferences don't count

  • Does not have to be published in video form - the interview that led to this article would count if it were with Harris https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/donald-trump-ear-campaign-assassination-attempt.html

  • Podcasts count if they meet the format (1 on 1) and don't count if they don't - e.g Joe Rogan would count (Jamie is present but not an interviewer), something like the Breakfast Club would not count unless it were a special "interview" episode with only one host

  • Interview does have to be published to the public in some way to count - an interview that happens before the election but isn't yet published would not count

I'm defining an assassination attempt similar to the other markets about whether or not there will be another one - has to be a credible, actual attempt as reported by reputable sources. Somewhat a judgment call but I'll try to err on the side of a liberal interpretation.

I will not bet in this market.

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Yeah, those 3 look to meet the criteria.

Harris also did interviews with Rickey Smiley and a Spanish language radio show in Phoenix

Vice President Kamala Harris conducted her second and third interviews since becoming the Democratic Party's nominee, both of which are scheduled to air Friday.

Harris sat down with comedian Rickey Smiley of the nationally syndicated "Rickey Smiley Morning Show" on Wednesday, while on Thursday she did an interview with a Phoenix-area Spanish-language radio station. The Smiley interview aired Friday morning, while the latter is expected to air at 1 p.m. ET the same day. 

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-conducts-radio-interviews-comedian-rickey-smiley-spanish-language-show-phoenix

Here is the YouTube link for the Rickey Smiley interview: https://youtu.be/D84fgfgLu8w?si=n0O4jrdHjFzNDiL6

And here’s the link for Spanish language interview for the Arizona radio station with Edna Chapa (“Angel Baby”) of Uforia - https://www.univision.com/musica/entrevista-exclusiva-la-vicepresidenta-kamala-harris-habla-sobre-el-futuro-de-estados-unidos-y-su-lucha-por-la-presidencia-video

Will this interview count?

Stephanie Himonidis (Chiquibaby) - Spanish language radio host.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/17/us/politics/kamala-harris-media-strategy.html

On Monday, she recorded an interview with Stephanie Himonidis, a Spanish-language radio host known as Chiquibaby whose show is syndicated on more than 100 stations.

Podcast Link: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/entrevista-a-la-vice-presidenta-kamala-harris/id1471111035?i=1000669812806

bought Ṁ100 Harris has more solo... YES

More information from this interview:

In her interview with Hispanic radio host Stephanie “Chiquibaby” Himonidis thus far, Kamala Harris has discussed her background and time as a prosecutor, and her plan to lower inflation.

Himonidis posed the questions to the vice-president in Spanish, and she is responding in English, with a Spanish translation of her responses playing on the broadcast simultaneously.

Kamala Harris answered questions about the economy and immigration on Chiquibaby’s radio show, telling the popular Spanish radio host about the work the Biden administration has done to secure the border but also support immigrants already in the country.

“He wants to run on the problem instead of fixing the problem,” she said about Trump during the interview, which was translated from English into Spanish.

“His policies would separate families,” she added. “I have already stood, and will always stand, with the belief that we have to keep families together.”

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2024/sep/17/donald-trump-shooting-assassination-attempt-kamala-harris-us-politics-news-latest-updates

Lots of confidence in early trading that she'll do at least 2 more.

Here's Harris' first solo interview: https://youtu.be/9AunRg_V078?si=Qiespf5pQbvgNtLO