When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?
Basic
15
Ṁ4682050
2058
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are reasons to think that we might see exploding rates of economic growth this century. One scenario is that the development of artificial general intelligence could lead to rapid scientific and technological progress, resulting in fast economic growth.
The year that GDP doubles because of AI is sometimes called 20AI. I am interested in when this year (a period of 12 months) will take place.
I guess there will be reliable sources to tell whether we see 100% global GDP growth (inflation-adjusted) within the span of one year, so I won't yet specify what source I will use for resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Gigacasting Where do you see this? Doesn’t look like it here https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?locations=VE
Related questions
Related questions
Global GDP will double compared to 2023 by... ?
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?
53% chance
Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?
25% chance
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?
14% chance
Will the world economy grow by more than 10000% in a single year before the year X?
Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?
29% chance
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
68% chance
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?
38% chance
Will the World's GDP double in 5 years?
9% chance
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 15% as measured from a prior peak?
40% chance