Who will be the next world number 1 in chess?
Basic
34
2.8k
2040
22%
Other
21%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Fabiano Caruana
11%
Dommaraju Gukesh
8%
Arjun Erigaisi
7%
Wei Yi
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
3%
Alireza Firouzja
3%
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa
2%
Ding Liren

Magnus Carlsen has been the number 1 ranked player by classical chess FIDE rating since July 2011. This question resolves to the first person who is not Magnus Carlsen to be rated number 1 on a FIDE monthly rating list.

In case of unforseen circumstances (e.g. the creation of a competitor organization to FIDE), I will use a rating list that best includes all top players and all classical games.

If you decide to add additional answers, please add only realistic people; I'll resolve troll answers to N/A.

I will not bet in this market.

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@traders I've added Arjun Erigaisi to the market