Who will be the next world number 1 in chess?
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Plus
36
Ṁ4543
2040
56%
Arjun Erigaisi
9%
Other
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Dommaraju Gukesh
4%
Hikaru Nakamura
4%
Wei Yi
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
3%
Alireza Firouzja
1%
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa

Magnus Carlsen has been the number 1 ranked player by classical chess FIDE rating since July 2011. This question resolves to the first person who is not Magnus Carlsen to be rated number 1 on a FIDE monthly rating list.

In case of unforseen circumstances (e.g. the creation of a competitor organization to FIDE), I will use a rating list that best includes all top players and all classical games.

If you decide to add additional answers, please add only realistic people; I'll resolve troll answers to N/A.

I will not bet in this market.

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@traders I've added Arjun Erigaisi to the market

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