Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
Basic
19
Ṁ12462027
42%
Gukesh D
11%
Ding Liren
6%
Fabiano Caruana
4%
Arjun Erigaisi
3%
Hikaru Nakamura
3%
Magnus Carlsen
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
3%
Alireza Firouzja
2%
Praggnanandhaa R
2%
Other
2%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
1.2%
Wei Yi
1.1%
Anish Giri
This market refers to this event: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026.
An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.
I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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