Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
Basic
23
Ṁ16532027
54%
Gukesh D
8%
Fabiano Caruana
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Ding Liren
4%
Magnus Carlsen
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
1.8%
Hikaru Nakamura
1.6%
Alireza Firouzja
1.5%
Praggnanandhaa R
1.3%
Other
1.2%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
This market refers to this event: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026.
An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.
I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will win the 2024 World Blitz Chess Championship?
Who will win the 2024 World Rapid Chess Championship?
Who will be World Chess Champion at the end of the 2020s?
Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
54% chance
♟️What will happen during the 2024 World Chess Championship? [ADD RESPONSES]
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?
Will Gukesh D win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
49% chance
Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Who will win the 2025 FIDE Women's World Chess Championship?