Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Basic
18
Ṁ24502027
18%
Fabiano Caruana
12%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
12%
Magnus Carlsen
9%
Alireza Firouzja
6%
Hikaru Nakamura
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
4%
Gukesh D
3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
2%
Wei Yi
2%
Praggnanandhaa R
1.7%
Other
1.7%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
1.7%
Vidit Santosh Gujrathi
1.7%
Ding Liren
1%
Daniil Dubov
1%
Wang Hao
This market refers to this event:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament
An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.
I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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