Will the Communist Party of Austria (KPÖ) win any seat in the parliament by the end of 2024?
Plus
17
Ṁ5575Jan 2
3%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The KPÖ has seen a lot of recent successes on a more local level in Austrian elections. While they have not been in the parliament of the country on the national level in quite a while, this now seems like it is a live option.
This will resolve in favor of yes if any member of the KPÖ wins an election to the parliament, either to the National Council or the Federal Council. If they die before taking their seat or something like that this will still resolve towards yes- this is about winning the election per say.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Austria form a government by February 2025?
59% chance
Will the Austrian party NEOS participate in the government coalition after the 2024 election?
80% chance
Will Herbert Kickl be the chancellor in the government after the next Austrian national elections?
29% chance
Will die Linke win any seats in the next German federal election?
41% chance
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
66% chance
Will the coalition between the ÖVP and the Greens last until the end of the legislative period in the fall of 2024?
97% chance
Will right-wing parties take more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 European Parliament elections?
20% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Far-right Freedom Party will be largest in Austrian Parliament
98% chance
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
5% chance
Will Viktor Orban be prime minister of Hungary at the end of 2024?
94% chance