The result of this market is based on my conclusion. If this market gets a significant number of participants, I will also hold a poll. I will consider the following:
Does Altman being fired suit OpenAI’s mission statement of creating safe AGI that benefits humanity?
Was Altman engaging in malpractice, negligence, or fraud?
Do the ripple effects of his firing, such as mass resignations, ultimately harm OpenAI even if on an isolated basis Altman should have been fired?
Will his firing increase the market capitalization, as well as the consumer & investor trust of OpenAI in the long term?
Any updates to my thoughts on this saga will be posted in the comments.
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1.00@Panfilo There still are net changes within OpenAI, especially in regard to 1. The board, and 2. The underlying issues that caused the fire. For example if Altman was fired for not be communicative, his rehiring might be conditional on him improving his communication.
@MikhaFischler Is it possible for one of the standards to eclipse the others, such as a consolidation of profit-motivated Microsoft power resulting in less safe future AGI prospects (and this being more important than Altman's personal foibles or investor trust)?