Will Hamas carry out at least one lethal attack in the USA in the next twelve months?
Plus
14
Ṁ576Jan 2
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are at least one incident of terror in the USA claiming one or more lives, attributed to Hamas-affiliated terror cells by authorities or by Hamas credibly claiming credit, in the 12 months since the Tweet posted on Oct 8 2023. (The extra time before close gives some time for incident attribution to resolve.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
It seems that Hamas’s activities have pretty much confined to Israel and Palestine for all its history. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamas
Related questions
Related questions
Will Hamas carry out at least 3 lethal attacks in the USA in the next year?
2% chance
Will Hamas commit and take credit for at least one suicide bombing before Jan 1st, 2025?
44% chance
Will Hamas issue an ultimatum threatening to execute a hostage?
22% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
6% chance
Will any of the remaining hostages taken by Hamas on October 7 return home alive before the end of 2024?
68% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
4% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
5% chance
Will Hamas be eradicated by 2025?
13% chance
Will a Hamas leader be assassinated while in Qatar?
12% chance
Will Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
37% chance