Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?
Plus
15
Ṁ3402035
77%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently SpaceX has launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times. The expectation is that when Starship is operational, Falcon 9 will be phased out in favor of Starship. Will they launch at least 700 times before retiring the Falcon 9?
This market includes early versions of Falcon 9 as well as current and potential future versions. It also includes Falcon Heavy, though each Heavy launch only counts once, not 3 times. This market does not count Falcon 1.
Failed launches count as long as they fail after liftoff.
/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least
/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-3ac98b0cb008
/Mqrius/will-spacex-falcon-launch-at-least-fd67f96710f5
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
62% chance
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 600 times?
84% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2024?
54% chance
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 500 times?
94% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
29% chance
When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
59% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Heavy in 2025?
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
73% chance