If Trump loses the 2024 election, or e.g. has a heart attack immediately after winning, "Trump isn't elected or fails to take office" resolves YES and all other options resolve NO.

If Trump is still in power in February 2029, even if it's temporary because of an emergency or something like that, "Trump remains in office after his term is up" resolves YES and "Trump leaves office when his term ends" resolves NO.

If Trump is replaced by a Republican who he has strong influence over, that still counts as leaving office, unless it's incredibly clear to international observers that it was a total sham election to appoint a puppet.

If there's substantial ambiguity around an option, it will resolve to a percentage based on my judgement.