Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
30
1kṀ25222029
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves YES if
trump formally announces a campaign for the 2028 election, whether or not it is legal at the time
other republicans campaign trump as a party candidate
he wins the 2028 election, even if he does not formally announce he is running
resolves NO if
trump announces he will not run for a 3rd term by market close
this market will resolve NO if legislation is introduced/passed that makes a 3rd term legally possible, but trump decides not to run by the end of the election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
This market but more shenanigans allowed:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-trump-win-a-third-term-as-pres
Related questions
Related questions
Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?
33% chance
Will Trump get a third term in office?
5% chance
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
3% chance
Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
52% chance
Will Trump serve a full second term (after winning in 2024)?
77% chance
Trump tries to serve a third term?
53% chance
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
56% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?
77% chance
If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
61% chance
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
10% chance