Will Trump break the 22nd amendment and get a third term? I don’t know if it would violent, or somehow peaceful, but resolves positively if Trump gets inaugurated president a third time.
For the record I’m completely against this in every way possible, but I think it’s important to model risks.
1,000People are also trading
11 percent, really? Even if he somehow manages to have the Constitution amended (or comes up with some other workaround), he’d still have to win another election before he dies.
@willboiss He doesn't need an amendment, just a reinterpretation of the 22nd amendment. He doesn't really have to win the election either. He just need to hold onto power and have congress certify that he won.
@eran I’m not sure how anyone reinterprets “No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice”. The conservatives on the Supreme Court are traditionalists and originalists, hardly Trump loyalists, and the 22nd amendment is about as explicit as it gets.
Congressional Republicans are another matter, of course, but they didn’t come remotely close to saving Trump’s presidency in 2020. Not saying none of this could ever happen, but I feel like it would require a crazy, random cataclysm, like nuclear war starting on the last day of his term or something like that.
@willboiss it’s a narrow reading of the word “elected”. If JD wins with Trump as Vice, JD can resign to make Trump president.
The Supreme Court will go along with it since the alternative is a full-blown crisis, and the likely end of any power the courts have remaining.
This isn’t a likely outcome, but I have it at around 20% right now, which is why I bought “yes”.
@eran The last sentence of the 12th amendment specifically prohibits this.
"no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President of the United States."
@SuperNukey I think the point is that he is eligible to be president, just not elected as one. So he’s able to serve as vice per this reading of the amendment
How does this resolve on clones, uploads, simulations, etc? Will the resolution be expanded until the dissolution of the US?
@spider doesn’t resolve positively on any of those. I want to be around to see the end date, I decided 2040 was a good time.