How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
3
1kแน€471
2026
11%
261 or less
33%
262-280
30%
281-300
26%
301+

(There were 261 orbital launch attempts in 2024)

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions

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