The EA community will have a major split/conflict between progressive and rationalist EAs before 2030.
22
Ṁ772
2029
43%
chance

Something we'd pay $10 million to avert.

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"Progressive" and "rationalist" aren't opposed. You might be thinking of —

  • progressive vs. libertarian

  • progressive vs. reactionary

  • progressives & libertarians vs. reactionaries & neofascists

  • rationalist vs. post-rationalist

  • rationalist vs. mysterian

  • something else

What exactly is meant by "progressive" in contrast to rationalist?

Who's "we"?

This needs much clearer resolution criteria. You can make the argument this has already happened.

Can you name any examples of a split you'd pay 10 million to avert?